## 2010 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE CHART

## September 2, 2010

**Likely:** These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.

**Lean:** These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.

**Toss-Up:** These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

**Democrats** currently have **73** seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.

**Republicans** currently have **8** seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC |
LEAN DEMOCRATIC |
DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP |

**DIST.** |
**REPRESENTATIVE** |
**PVI** |
AR-4 |
Mike Ross |
R+7 |
CA-18 |
Dennis Cardoza |
D+4 |
CA-20 |
Jim Costa |
D+5 |
CO-7 |
Ed Perlmutter |
D+4 |
CT-4 |
Jim Himes |
D+5 |
CT-5 |
Christopher Murphy |
D+2 |
GA-2 |
Sanford Bishop, Jr. |
D+1 |
GA-12 |
John Barrow |
D+1 |
IL-8 |
Melissa Bean |
R+1 |
IA-1 |
Bruce Braley |
D+5 |
KY-3 |
John Yarmuth |
D+2 |
MN-1 |
Tim Walz |
R+1 |
MO-3 |
Russ Carnahan |
D+7 |
NJ-12 |
Rush Holt |
D+5 |
NY-25 |
Dan Maffei |
D+3 |
NC-2 |
Bob Etheridge |
R+2 |
NC-7 |
Mike McIntyre |
R+5 |
OH-6 |
Charlie Wilson |
R+2 |
OR-1 |
David Wu |
D+8 |
PA-4 |
Jason Altmire |
R+6 |
PA-17 |
Tim Holden |
R+6 |
RI-1 |
OPEN (Kennedy) |
D+13 |
UT-2 |
Jim Matheson |
R+15 |
WV-3 |
Nick Rahall |
R+6 |
WI-3 |
Ron Kind |
D+4 |
25 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS |
**DIST.** |
**REPRESENTATIVE** |
**PVI** |
AL-2 |
Bobby Bright |
R+16 |
AZ-8 |
Gabrielle Giffords |
R+4 |
CA-11 |
Jerry McNerney |
R+1 |
CA-47 |
Loretta Sánchez |
D+4 |
DE-AL |
OPEN (Castle) |
D+7 |
FL-22 |
Ron Klein |
D+1 |
ID-1 |
Walter Minnick |
R+18 |
IL-17 |
Phil Hare |
D+3 |
IN-2 |
Joe Donnelly |
R+2 |
KY-6 |
Ben Chandler |
R+9 |
MA-10 |
OPEN (Delahunt) |
D+5 |
MI-9 |
Gary Peters |
D+2 |
MO-4 |
Ike Skelton |
R+14 |
NJ-3 |
John Adler |
R+1 |
NM-1 |
Martin Heinrich |
D+5 |
NY-1 |
Tim Bishop |
R+0 |
NY-13 |
Mike McMahon |
R+4 |
NY-19 |
John Hall |
R+3 |
NY-20 |
Scott Murphy |
R+2 |
NY-23 |
Bill Owens |
R+1 |
NC-11 |
Heath Shuler |
R+6 |
OH-13 |
Betty Sutton |
D+5 |
OH-18 |
Zack Space |
R+7 |
OR-5 |
Kurt Schrader |
D+1 |
PA-10 |
Chris Carney |
R+8 |
PA-12 |
Mark Critz |
R+1 |
TN-4 |
Lincoln Davis |
R+13 |
VA-9 |
Rick Boucher |
R+11 |
VA-11 |
Gerald Connolly |
D+2 |
WA-2 |
Rick Larsen |
D+3 |
29 DEMOCRATS
1 REPUBLICANS |
**DIST.** |
**REPRESENTATIVE** |
**PVI** |
AZ-1 |
Ann Kirkpatrick |
R+6 |
AZ-5 |
Harry Mitchell |
R+5 |
AR-1 |
OPEN (Berry) |
R+8 |
CO-3 |
John Salazar |
R+5 |
CO-4 |
Betsy Markey |
R+6 |
FL-2 |
Allen Boyd |
R+6 |
FL-8 |
Alan Grayson |
R+2 |
FL-24 |
Suzanne Kosmas |
R+4 |
GA-8 |
Jim Marshall |
R+10 |
IL-11 |
Debbie Halvorson |
R+1 |
IL-14 |
Bill Foster |
R+1 |
IN-9 |
Baron Hill |
R+6 |
IA-3 |
Leonard Boswell |
D+1 |
MD-1 |
Frank Kratovil |
R+13 |
MI-1 |
OPEN (Stupak) |
R+3 |
MI-7 |
Mark Schauer |
R+2 |
MS-1 |
Travis Childers |
R+14 |
NV-3 |
Dina Titus |
D+2 |
NH-1 |
Carol Shea-Porter |
R+0 |
NH-2 |
OPEN (Hodes) |
D+3 |
NM-2 |
Harry Teague |
R+6 |
NY-24 |
Michael Arcuri |
R+2 |
NC-8 |
Larry Kissell |
R+2 |
ND-AL |
Earl Pomeroy |
R+10 |
OH-1 |
Steve Driehaus |
D+1 |
OH-15 |
Mary Jo Kilroy |
D+1 |
OH-16 |
John Boccieri |
R+4 |
PA-3 |
Kathy Dahlkemper |
R+3 |
PA-7 |
OPEN (Sestak) |
D+3 |
PA-8 |
Patrick Murphy |
D+2 |
PA-11 |
Paul Kanjorski |
D+4 |
SC-5 |
John Spratt |
R+7 |
SD-AL |
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin |
R+9 |
TN-8 |
OPEN (Tanner) |
R+6 |
TX-17 |
Chet Edwards |
R+20 |
TX-23 |
Ciro Rodriguez |
R+4 |
VA-2 |
Glenn Nye |
R+5 |
VA-5 |
Tom Perriello |
R+5 |
WA-3 |
OPEN (Baird) |
D+0 |
WV-1 |
OPEN (Mollohan) |
R+9 |
WI-7 |
OPEN (Obey) |
D+3 |
WI-8 |
Steve Kagen |
R+2 |
42 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS |

REPUBLICAN TOSS UP |
LEAN REPUBLICAN |
LIKELY REPUBLICAN |

**DIST.** |
**REPRESENTATIVE** |
**PVI** |
HI-1 |
Charles Djou |
D+11 |
IL-10 |
OPEN (Kirk) |
D+6 |
LA-2 |
Joseph Cao |
D+25 |
3 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS |
**DIST.** |
**REPRESENTATIVE** |
**PVI** |
AL-5 |
OPEN (Griffith) |
R+12 |
CA-3 |
Dan Lungren |
R+6 |
FL-25 |
OPEN (Diaz-Balart) |
R+5 |
IN-8 |
OPEN (Ellsworth) |
R+8 |
KS-3 |
OPEN (Moore) |
R+3 |
PA-15 |
Charlie Dent |
D+2 |
4 REPUBLICANS
2 DEMOCRATS |
**DIST.** |
**REPRESENTATIVE** |
**PVI** |
AZ-3 |
OPEN (Shadegg) |
R+9 |
AR-2 |
OPEN (Snyder) |
R+5 |
CA-44 |
Ken Calvert |
R+6 |
CA-45 |
Mary Bono Mack |
R+3 |
FL-12 |
OPEN (Putnam) |
R+6 |
LA-3 |
OPEN (Melancon) |
R+12 |
MI-3 |
OPEN (Ehlers) |
R+6 |
MN-6 |
Michele Bachmann |
R+7 |
NE-2 |
Lee Terry |
R+6 |
NY-29 |
VACANT |
R+5 |
OH-12 |
Patrick Tiberi |
D+1 |
PA-6 |
Jim Gerlach |
D+4 |
TN-6 |
OPEN (Gordon) |
R+13 |
WA-8 |
Dave Reichert |
D+3 |
10 REPUBLICANS
4 DEMOCRATS |

**Bolded name** denotes opposing party’s seat

*Italicized name* denotes Freshman member

* denotes possible incumbent retirement

# denotes possible serious primary challenge

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